Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.69 – 196.38

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 24 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.1 ±11

9607RJR Cyber Demons

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 12.39Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 28.74Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2640HOTBOTZ

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 44.56Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 525.4 ±9.9

4795Eastbots

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 119.37Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 45.51Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11297Iron Corsairs

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 31.5Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9607, 4829, 2640

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9607, 4829, 2640

Auto

16.1 19%

Teleop

31.8 38%

Endgame

36.1 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4795, 7890, 11297

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4795, 7890, 11297

Auto

44.5 23%

Teleop

108.9 57%

Endgame

38.6 20%

Strengths

· 4795 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.7pts

Blue projected score196.4pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -110.7
Score range: 63–219
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 125.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.1Season APEX525.4

16.1Auto44.5

31.8Teleop108.9

36.1Endgame38.6

44Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	31
teleop	41	107
endgame	14	30
foul	0	0
total	66	168

Result

Final score

66 – 168

Prediction correct · off by 24 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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