Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

280.85 – 144.97

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

177 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 58.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.8 ±8.7

8429Valence Robotics

Season APEX 186.7Event APEX 77.9Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 73.81Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4795Eastbots

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 129.14Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.7 ±10.4

4935T-Rex

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 43.76Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 26.07Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 75.14Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8429, 1533, 4795

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8429, 1533, 4795

Auto

69.6 26%

Teleop

155.0 57%

Endgame

47.2 17%

Strengths

· 4795 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4935, 4829, 9297

/ 100 compat

Projected

145 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4935, 4829, 9297

Auto

15.8 11%

Teleop

88.3 61%

Endgame

41.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score280.9pts

Blue projected score145pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 135.9
Score range: 123–303
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 335 vs event baseline 124.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.8Season APEX265.7

69.6Auto15.8

155Teleop88.3

47.2Endgame41.8

34Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	17
teleop	79	59
endgame	52	82
foul	0	0
total	177	158

Result

Final score

177 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 58.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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