Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
98.97 – 52.97
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
68 – 94
Prediction missed · off by 36 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.9 ±12.7
Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 18.06Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 46.51Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 34.4Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 172.8 ±11.1
Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 6.91Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 31.63Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31Event APEX 14.43Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6240, 900, 11297
50
/ 100 compatProjected
99 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6240, 900, 11297
Auto
19.5 22%
Teleop
32.5 36%
Endgame
37.5 42%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10412, 7763, 10354
35
/ 100 compatProjected
53 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10412, 7763, 10354
Auto
6.6 16%
Teleop
28.8 69%
Endgame
6.4 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score99pts
Blue projected score53pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 46
- Score range
- 30–122
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
206.9Season APEX172.8
19.5Auto6.6
32.5Teleop28.8
37.5Endgame6.4
34Consistency54
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 20 |
| teleop | 35 | 41 |
| endgame | 13 | 33 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 68 | 94 |
Result
Final score
68 – 94
Prediction missed · off by 36 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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