Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.52 – 212.8

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 3.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 126.5 ±12.2

6240Eagles of the Knight

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 19.7Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8757GeodeBots

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 27.92Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6729RobCoBots

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 23.9Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 514.2 ±8.7

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 104.5Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7763Carrborobotics

Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 32.36Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8429Valence Robotics

Season APEX 186.7Event APEX 75.94Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6240, 8757, 6729

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6240, 8757, 6729

Auto

14.5 20%

Teleop

32.4 44%

Endgame

26.4 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3506, 7763, 8429

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3506, 7763, 8429

Auto

42.8 21%

Teleop

114.8 57%

Endgame

43.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.5pts

Blue projected score212.8pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -141.3
Score range: 50–235
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 292 vs event baseline 124.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

126.5Season APEX514.2

14.5Auto42.8

32.4Teleop114.8

26.4Endgame43.8

14Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	47
teleop	43	144
endgame	15	29
foul	5	0
total	72	220

Result

Final score

72 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 3.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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