Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
72.53 – 82.64
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
117 – 74
Prediction missed · off by 26.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.4 ±10.5
Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 17.08Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 43.35Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39Event APEX 12.1Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 111.9 ±12.1
Season APEX 24Event APEX 24.17Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 9.7Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 48.77Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3822, 7890, 9559
46
/ 100 compatProjected
72.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3822, 7890, 9559
Auto
18.2 25%
Teleop
42.5 58%
Endgame
12.6 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5919, 10412, 900
51
/ 100 compatProjected
82.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5919, 10412, 900
Auto
12.0 16%
Teleop
37.8 51%
Endgame
24.0 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.5
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score72.5pts
Blue projected score82.6pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -10.1
- Score range
- 51–105
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
254.4Season APEX111.9
18.2Auto12
42.5Teleop37.8
12.6Endgame24
41Consistency78
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 13 |
| teleop | 74 | 18 |
| endgame | 27 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 117 | 74 |
Result
Final score
117 – 74
Prediction missed · off by 26.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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