Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.53 – 82.64

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

117 – 74

Prediction missed · off by 26.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.4 ±10.5

3822Neon Krakens

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 17.08Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 43.35Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9559EagleTron

Season APEX 39Event APEX 12.1Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 111.9 ±12.1

5919JoCo RoBos

Season APEX 24Event APEX 24.17Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10412TechBotTronics-1RSNC

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 9.7Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 48.77Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3822, 7890, 9559

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3822, 7890, 9559

Auto

18.2 25%

Teleop

42.5 58%

Endgame

12.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5919, 10412, 900

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5919, 10412, 900

Auto

12.0 16%

Teleop

37.8 51%

Endgame

24.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.5pts

Blue projected score82.6pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.1
Score range: 51–105
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 191 vs event baseline 124.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

254.4Season APEX111.9

18.2Auto12

42.5Teleop37.8

12.6Endgame24

41Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	13
teleop	74	18
endgame	27	38
foul	0	5
total	117	74

Result

Final score

117 – 74

Prediction missed · off by 26.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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