Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.79 – 164.38

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.4 ±11.1

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 48.11Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10412TechBotTronics-1RSNC

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 14.72Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9607RJR Cyber Demons

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 8.96Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.9 ±10.5

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 105.67Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4861Beastbots

Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 30.95Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 27.76Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7890, 10412, 9607

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7890, 10412, 9607

Auto

5.8 8%

Teleop

39.8 56%

Endgame

25.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3506, 4861, 4829

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3506, 4861, 4829

Auto

31.5 18%

Teleop

95.1 56%

Endgame

44.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score71.8pts

Blue projected score164.4pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.6
Score range: 49–187
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 125.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.4Season APEX329.9

5.8Auto31.5

39.8Teleop95.1

25.6Endgame44.4

111Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	28
teleop	4	76
endgame	7	49
foul	0	0
total	25	153

Result

Final score

25 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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