Qualification · Qualification 4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
50.78 – 75.71
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
37 – 45
Prediction correct · off by 22.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 97.8 ±11.6
Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 14Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 24.61Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39Event APEX 12.17Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 103.4 ±11.6
Season APEX 31Event APEX 17.11Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 29.13Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 29.47Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10412, 10304, 9559
29
/ 100 compatProjected
50.8 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10412, 10304, 9559
Auto
11.5 22%
Teleop
15.4 30%
Endgame
24.4 48%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10354, 8757, 9607
40
/ 100 compatProjected
75.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 10354, 8757, 9607
Auto
22.5 34%
Teleop
20.8 32%
Endgame
22.7 34%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score50.8pts
Blue projected score75.7pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -24.9
- Score range
- 26–101
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
97.8Season APEX103.4
11.5Auto22.5
15.4Teleop20.8
24.4Endgame22.7
33Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 13 |
| teleop | 17 | 22 |
| endgame | 8 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 37 | 45 |
Result
Final score
37 – 45
Prediction correct · off by 22.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.