Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.72 – 162.13

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

128 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 47.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.2 ±11.6

9607RJR Cyber Demons

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -2.74Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 43.52Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4935T-Rex

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 27.94Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 378.3 ±9.3

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 69.47Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7763Carrborobotics

Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 25.03Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 67.63Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9607, 900, 4935

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9607, 900, 4935

Auto

5.0 8%

Teleop

29.1 45%

Endgame

29.9 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9297, 7763, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9297, 7763, 1533

Auto

23.9 16%

Teleop

97.1 63%

Endgame

33.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score68.7pts

Blue projected score162.1pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.4
Score range: 47–184
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 325 vs event baseline 123.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.2Season APEX378.3

5Auto23.9

29.1Teleop97.1

29.9Endgame33

104Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	22
teleop	43	135
endgame	65	25
foul	0	15
total	128	197

Result

Final score

128 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 47.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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