Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
75.74 – 72.3
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
53 – 109
Prediction missed · off by 29.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.4 ±11
Season APEX 31Event APEX 15.54Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 36.21Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39Event APEX 23.99Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.4 ±10.5
Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 33.49Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 20.74Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 18.07Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10354, 4935, 9559
51
/ 100 compatProjected
75.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 10354, 4935, 9559
Auto
14.4 19%
Teleop
40.3 53%
Endgame
22.0 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4829, 7763, 6729
43
/ 100 compatProjected
72.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4829, 7763, 6729
Auto
7.3 11%
Teleop
39.9 62%
Endgame
17.1 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.48
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score75.7pts
Blue projected score72.3pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 3.4
- Score range
- 50–98
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
145.4Season APEX266.4
14.4Auto7.3
40.3Teleop39.9
22Endgame17.1
82Consistency67
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 14 |
| teleop | 29 | 56 |
| endgame | 12 | 39 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 53 | 109 |
Result
Final score
53 – 109
Prediction missed · off by 29.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.