Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.12 – 95.83

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 38.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.9 ±10.5

4861Beastbots

Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 26.48Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4935T-Rex

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 37.28Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7763Carrborobotics

Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 20.36Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.9 ±11

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 35.05Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9559EagleTron

Season APEX 39Event APEX 22.1Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

587The Hedgehogs

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 38.68Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4861, 4935, 7763

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4861, 4935, 7763

Auto

3.1 4%

Teleop

42.7 52%

Endgame

36.5 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 900, 9559, 587

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 900, 9559, 587

Auto

13.5 16%

Teleop

49.9 60%

Endgame

19.8 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.1pts

Blue projected score95.8pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -11.7
Score range: 63–117
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 257 vs event baseline 118.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.9Season APEX230.9

3.1Auto13.5

42.7Teleop49.9

36.5Endgame19.8

138Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	18
teleop	79	68
endgame	9	63
foul	0	0
total	108	149

Result

Final score

108 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 38.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.