Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.02 – 161.19

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

204 – 183

Prediction missed · off by 69.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.6 ±10.4

9559EagleTron

Season APEX 39Event APEX 9.24Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7918ReCuRsIoN

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 30.62Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 47.16Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.9 ±11.1

11297Iron Corsairs

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 41.27Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 91.17Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3822Neon Krakens

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 28.75Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9559, 7918, 9297

/ 100 compat

Projected

87 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9559, 7918, 9297

Auto

18.8 22%

Teleop

57.5 67%

Endgame

9.5 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11297, 3506, 3822

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11297, 3506, 3822

Auto

38.0 24%

Teleop

87.7 54%

Endgame

35.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87pts

Blue projected score161.2pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.2
Score range: 67–181
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 387 vs event baseline 113.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220.6Season APEX355.9

18.8Auto38

57.5Teleop87.7

9.5Endgame35.9

84Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	50
teleop	127	79
endgame	59	44
foul	0	10
total	204	183

Result

Final score

204 – 183

Prediction missed · off by 69.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.