Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.77 – 176.15

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.6 ±11.6

6729RobCoBots

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 21.37Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11146CitrusDuckz

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 20.01Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 47.39Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359.7 ±9.8

2640HOTBOTZ

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 39.47Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 77.3Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 59.38Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6729, 11146, 900

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6729, 11146, 900

Auto

12.2 14%

Teleop

48.4 57%

Endgame

24.4 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2640, 9297, 7890

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2640, 9297, 7890

Auto

20.3 12%

Teleop

109.2 65%

Endgame

38.4 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.8pts

Blue projected score176.2pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.4
Score range: 64–201
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 137.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.6Season APEX359.7

12.2Auto20.3

48.4Teleop109.2

24.4Endgame38.4

61Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	9
teleop	42	88
endgame	18	12
foul	15	15
total	82	124

Result

Final score

82 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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