Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
149.52 – 26.74
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
80 – 81
Prediction missed · off by 61.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 21.75Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 24Event APEX 33.52Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 157Event APEX 94.25Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 140.3 ±12.1
Season APEX 69.2Event APEX -1.33Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 31Event APEX 5.75Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 22.32Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4829, 5919, 1533
82
/ 100 compatProjected
149.5 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 4829, 5919, 1533
Auto
26.8 20%
Teleop
68.0 51%
Endgame
39.2 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 900, 10354, 10304
26
/ 100 compatProjected
26.7 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 900, 10354, 10304
Auto
9.9 32%
Teleop
5.9 19%
Endgame
14.9 49%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score149.5pts
Blue projected score26.7pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 122.8
- Score range
- 6–171
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
273.1Season APEX140.3
26.8Auto9.9
68Teleop5.9
39.2Endgame14.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 12 |
| teleop | 38 | 1 |
| endgame | 12 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 55 |
| total | 80 | 81 |
Result
Final score
80 – 81
Prediction missed · off by 61.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.