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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FNC District Elon University Event

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

67.8 – 57.37

53%47%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

174 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 57.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 348 ±9.8
2640HOTBOTZ
C
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX -0.67Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
11146CitrusDuckz
D
Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 16.38Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3506YETI Robotics
B
Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 52.09Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 289 ±10.5
11297Iron Corsairs
C
Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 48.21Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
11285Purple Autobots
D
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 8.21Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
7763Carrborobotics
C
Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 0.95Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2640, 11146, 3506
47
/ 100 compat
Projected
67.8 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2640, 11146, 3506
Auto
6.2 9%
Teleop
45.4 68%
Endgame
15.3 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11297, 11285, 7763
45
/ 100 compat
Projected
57.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 11297, 11285, 7763
Auto
9.6 20%
Teleop
31.5 66%
Endgame
6.8 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score67.8pts
Blue projected score57.4pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
10.4
Score range
36–89
Upset likelihood
47%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 114.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

348Season APEX289
6.2Auto9.6
45.4Teleop31.5
15.3Endgame6.8
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3115
teleop9730
endgame4121
foul50
total17466

Result

Final score

174 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 57.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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