Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.9 – 218.55

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.5 ±10.5

7763Carrborobotics

Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 33.15Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3822Neon Krakens

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 24.67Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 25.08Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 421.5 ±9.8

6502DARC SIDE

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 63.56Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4561TerrorBytes

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 79.13Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7918ReCuRsIoN

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 75.86Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7763, 3822, 4829

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7763, 3822, 4829

Auto

18.2 24%

Teleop

36.1 48%

Endgame

21.7 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6502, 4561, 7918

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6502, 4561, 7918

Auto

33.0 16%

Teleop

127.1 60%

Endgame

50.6 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.9pts

Blue projected score218.6pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -135.6
Score range: 58–244
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 224 vs event baseline 137.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.5Season APEX421.5

18.2Auto33

36.1Teleop127.1

21.7Endgame50.6

30Consistency81

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	37
teleop	20	125
endgame	11	28
foul	0	0
total	34	190

Result

Final score

34 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 38.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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