Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
241.71 – 187.87
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
253 – 170
Prediction correct · off by 14.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 476.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 39Event APEX 11.62Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 114.7Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 115.39Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 466.4 ±9.9
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 25.24Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 186.7Event APEX 82.9Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 79.73Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9559, 3506, 4795
83
/ 100 compatProjected
241.7 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9559, 3506, 4795
Auto
50.6 21%
Teleop
138.9 57%
Endgame
54.1 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10304, 8429, 4561
80
/ 100 compatProjected
187.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10304, 8429, 4561
Auto
40.3 22%
Teleop
93.3 52%
Endgame
47.5 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score241.7pts
Blue projected score187.9pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 53.8
- Score range
- 163–267
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
476.5Season APEX466.4
50.6Auto40.3
138.9Teleop93.3
54.1Endgame47.5
36Consistency56
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 64 | 67 |
| teleop | 110 | 99 |
| endgame | 69 | 4 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 253 | 170 |
Result
Final score
253 – 170
Prediction correct · off by 14.6 pts
Match videos
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