Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

413.7 – 271.11

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

530 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 632.8 ±8.1

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 171.95Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 3.88Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 237.87Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 403.5 ±9.8

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 124.43Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5160Chargers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 46.51Rank 25Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 100.17Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9032, 6004, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

413.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9032, 6004, 9496

Auto

94.8 18%

Teleop

325.0 62%

Endgame

103.8 20%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6500, 5160, 3506

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6500, 5160, 3506

Auto

58.3 22%

Teleop

149.4 56%

Endgame

60.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score413.7pts

Blue projected score271.1pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 142.6
Score range: 235–450
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 852 vs event baseline 197.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

632.8Season APEX403.5

94.8Auto58.3

325Teleop149.4

103.8Endgame60.3

0Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	127	28
teleop	283	197
endgame	120	92
foul	0	5
total	530	322

Result

Final score

530 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.