Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

506.8 – 298.13

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 177

Prediction missed · off by 314 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 632.8 ±8.1

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 202.06Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 39.49Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 265.25Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 454.2 ±9.3

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 65.2Rank 50Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 116.25Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 116.68Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9032, 6004, 9496

/ 100 compat

Projected

506.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9032, 6004, 9496

Auto

96.6 19%

Teleop

315.8 62%

Endgame

93.4 18%

Strengths

· 9496 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6894, 2724, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

298.1 pts

~0.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6894, 2724, 1533

Auto

49.8 17%

Teleop

175.5 61%

Endgame

60.7 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score506.8pts

Blue projected score298.1pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 208.7
Score range: 262–543
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 177 vs event baseline 197.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

632.8Season APEX454.2

96.6Auto49.8

315.8Teleop175.5

93.4Endgame60.7

0Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	60
teleop	360	66
endgame	150	31
foul	5	20
total	0	177

Result

Final score

0 – 177

Prediction missed · off by 314 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.