Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

262.64 – 283.87

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

257 – 412

Prediction correct · off by 66.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.5 ±9.8

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 120.85Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5160Chargers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 42.86Rank 25Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 98.93Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 471.2 ±9.3

8429Valence Robotics

Season APEX 186.7Event APEX 105.29Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 63.19Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 115.39Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6500, 5160, 3506

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6500, 5160, 3506

Auto

65.8 25%

Teleop

153.6 58%

Endgame

45.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8429, 8727, 7890

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8429, 8727, 7890

Auto

49.2 17%

Teleop

170.1 60%

Endgame

63.2 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score262.6pts

Blue projected score283.9pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.2
Score range: 228–319
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 669 vs event baseline 195.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.5Season APEX471.2

65.8Auto49.2

153.6Teleop170.1

45.3Endgame63.2

74Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	72
teleop	118	207
endgame	90	118
foul	5	15
total	257	412

Result

Final score

257 – 412

Prediction correct · off by 66.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.