Qualification · Qualification 91

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

219.78 – 58.48

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

387 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 84.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 368.3 ±9.8

8429Valence Robotics

Season APEX 186.7Event APEX 82.45Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6502DARC SIDE

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 86.07Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8738Slice

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 51.26Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257.1 ±10.4

3459Team PyroTech

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 3.1Rank 43Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 42.25Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11285Purple Autobots

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 13.13Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8429, 6502, 8738

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8429, 6502, 8738

Auto

38.2 17%

Teleop

115.3 53%

Endgame

65.6 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3459, 11417, 11285

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3459, 11417, 11285

Auto

16.0 32%

Teleop

12.6 25%

Endgame

20.9 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score219.8pts

Blue projected score58.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.3
Score range: 23–255
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 447 vs event baseline 192.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

368.3Season APEX257.1

38.2Auto16

115.3Teleop12.6

65.6Endgame20.9

75Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	16
teleop	239	25
endgame	88	19
foul	0	0
total	387	60

Result

Final score

387 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 84.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.