Qualification · Qualification 84
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
270.26 – 93.23
90%10%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
380 – 129
Prediction correct · off by 72.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 453.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 13.86Rank 46Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 143.29Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 157Event APEX 113.11Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.8 ±10.4
Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 74.94Rank 50Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.3Event APEX -0.76Rank 43Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 19.05Rank 26Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11377, 4561, 1533
79
/ 100 compatProjected
270.3 pts
~2.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 11377, 4561, 1533
Auto
49.4 18%
Teleop
164.8 61%
Endgame
55.0 20%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6894, 3459, 8757
46
/ 100 compatProjected
93.2 pts
~0.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 6894, 3459, 8757
Auto
25.3 29%
Teleop
41.1 47%
Endgame
21.9 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score270.3pts
Blue projected score93.2pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 12%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 177
- Score range
- 58–305
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
453.9Season APEX149.8
49.4Auto25.3
164.8Teleop41.1
55Endgame21.9
79Consistency76
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 58 | 22 |
| teleop | 212 | 71 |
| endgame | 110 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 380 | 129 |
Result
Final score
380 – 129
Prediction correct · off by 72.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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