Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
95.39 – 95.39
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
135 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 21 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 312.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 70.7Event APEX -Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 166.1Event APEX -Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 75.4Event APEX -Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 106.4Event APEX -Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.5Event APEX -Rank 42Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.3Event APEX -Rank 43Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11179, 11417, 4935
50
/ 100 compatProjected
95.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 11179, 11417, 4935
Auto
28.6 30%
Teleop
47.7 50%
Endgame
19.1 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8727, 10302, 3459
50
/ 100 compatProjected
95.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 8727, 10302, 3459
Auto
28.6 30%
Teleop
47.7 50%
Endgame
19.1 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score95.4pts
Blue projected score95.4pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 12%, blue 17%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 61–129
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
312.2Season APEX204.2
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 23 |
| teleop | 79 | 42 |
| endgame | 31 | 28 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 135 | 93 |
Result
Final score
135 – 93
Prediction correct · off by 21 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree