Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

340.8 – 159.36

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

256 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 447 ±9.8

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 61.15Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 121.07Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4561TerrorBytes

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 158.58Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.9 ±10.4

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 62.59Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4935T-Rex

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 86.85Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3459Team PyroTech

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 9.92Rank 43Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1225, 6500, 4561

/ 100 compat

Projected

340.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1225, 6500, 4561

Auto

52.7 15%

Teleop

201.7 59%

Endgame

89.4 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9297, 4935, 3459

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9297, 4935, 3459

Auto

29.6 20%

Teleop

77.2 51%

Endgame

43.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score340.8pts

Blue projected score159.4pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 181.4
Score range: 124–376
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 192.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

447Season APEX212.9

52.7Auto29.6

201.7Teleop77.2

89.4Endgame43.6

99Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	9
teleop	144	44
endgame	50	53
foul	0	0
total	256	106

Result

Final score

256 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 69.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.