Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
104.5 – 104.5
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
99 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 23 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -Rank 26Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 92.1Event APEX -Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX -Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 46.8Event APEX -Rank 32Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 175.1Event APEX -Rank 22Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.3Event APEX -Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8757, 4829, 7918
50
/ 100 compatProjected
104.5 pts
~1.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 8757, 4829, 7918
Auto
31.4 30%
Teleop
52.3 50%
Endgame
20.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8746, 6639, 3196
50
/ 100 compatProjected
104.5 pts
~1.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 8746, 6639, 3196
Auto
31.4 30%
Teleop
52.3 50%
Endgame
20.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score104.5pts
Blue projected score104.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 19%, blue 13%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 67–143
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
227.3Season APEX280.2
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 23 |
| teleop | 53 | 16 |
| endgame | 13 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 99 | 64 |
Result
Final score
99 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 23 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree