Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
82.89 – 415.38
2%98%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
188 – 348
Prediction correct · off by 86.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 281.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 76.44Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 12.7Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 34.2Event APEX -6.25Rank 48Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 29.31Rank 43Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265Event APEX 246.69Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 139.38Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3506, 6888, 10121
34
/ 100 compatProjected
82.9 pts
~0.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 3506, 6888, 10121
Auto
30.1 39%
Teleop
49.7 64%
Endgame
-2.1 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3459, 9032, 7890
80
/ 100 compatProjected
415.4 pts
~2.4 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 3459, 9032, 7890
Auto
61.4 15%
Teleop
248.6 60%
Endgame
101.7 25%
Strengths
- · 9032 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.2 · Blue 2.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score82.9pts
Blue projected score415.4pts
Red win probability2%
Event bonus sample230alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 12%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 12%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -332.5
- Score range
- 50–448
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
281.9Season APEX482.4
30.1Auto61.4
49.7Teleop248.6
-2.1Endgame101.7
92Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 50 |
| teleop | 69 | 246 |
| endgame | 69 | 37 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 188 | 348 |
Result
Final score
188 – 348
Prediction correct · off by 86.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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