Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

291.41 – 124.89

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

463 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 101.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 567.4 ±8.8

9496LYNK

A+

Season APEX 297.2Event APEX 149.83Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 132.27Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 9.31Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.2 ±10.4

11179The Power of Friendship

Season APEX 70.7Event APEX 41Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10248Iron Byrds

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 11.67Rank 44Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9559EagleTron

Season APEX 39Event APEX 72.22Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9496, 7890, 4829

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9496, 7890, 4829

Auto

56.5 20%

Teleop

163.1 57%

Endgame

66.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11179, 10248, 9559

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.9 pts

~0.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11179, 10248, 9559

Auto

25.2 20%

Teleop

56.6 46%

Endgame

42.4 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score291.4pts

Blue projected score124.9pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 7%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 166.5
Score range: 92–324
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 556 vs event baseline 183.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

567.4Season APEX143.2

56.5Auto25.2

163.1Teleop56.6

66.2Endgame42.4

90Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	26
teleop	268	39
endgame	135	28
foul	0	0
total	463	93

Result

Final score

463 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 101.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.