Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

138.44 – 175.61

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 48 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.5 ±10.4

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 54.82Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8205Mind Over Metal

Season APEX 56Event APEX 32.09Rank 47Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4829Titanium Tigers

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 51.53Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.1 ±10.4

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 60.36Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 73.51Rank 46Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7918ReCuRsIoN

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 41.74Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3336, 8205, 4829

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3336, 8205, 4829

Auto

29.9 24%

Teleop

67.0 53%

Endgame

28.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8727, 11377, 7918

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8727, 11377, 7918

Auto

35.9 20%

Teleop

106.9 60%

Endgame

34.8 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score138.4pts

Blue projected score175.6pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.2
Score range: 105–209
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 185.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.5Season APEX247.1

29.9Auto35.9

67Teleop106.9

28.4Endgame34.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	28
teleop	26	71
endgame	22	48
foul	0	0
total	71	147

Result

Final score

71 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 48 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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