Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

191.35 – 101.76

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

163 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.7 ±9.8

3229Hawktimus Prime

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 69.94Rank 35Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 21.08Rank 29Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 100.33Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.5 ±10.4

3336Zimanators

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 34.74Rank 45Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9297BOGOBOTS

Season APEX 98.2Event APEX 49.17Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2682Boneyard Robotics 2682

Season APEX 153.9Event APEX 17.85Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3229, 9150, 3506

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3229, 9150, 3506

Auto

34.5 19%

Teleop

100.7 55%

Endgame

48.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3336, 9297, 2682

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3336, 9297, 2682

Auto

13.7 15%

Teleop

46.4 51%

Endgame

30.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.67 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score191.4pts

Blue projected score101.8pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.6
Score range: 65–228
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 205.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.7Season APEX298.5

34.5Auto13.7

100.7Teleop46.4

48.9Endgame30.8

104Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	12
teleop	92	55
endgame	42	21
foul	0	25
total	163	113

Result

Final score

163 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree