Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

117.81 – 103.05

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

184 – 222

Prediction missed · off by 92.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.4 ±9.8

7763Carrborobotics

Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 27.02Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 52.22Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 38.57Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.9 ±9.8

10248Iron Byrds

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 30.94Rank 44Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 81.69Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX -9.58Rank 46Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7763, 1225, 11417

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7763, 1225, 11417

Auto

17.3 15%

Teleop

66.5 57%

Endgame

32.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10248, 7890, 11377

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10248, 7890, 11377

Auto

5.5 5%

Teleop

62.2 58%

Endgame

38.7 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score117.8pts

Blue projected score103.1pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.8
Score range: 74–147
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 406 vs event baseline 158.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.4Season APEX268.9

17.3Auto5.5

66.5Teleop62.2

32.2Endgame38.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	37
teleop	76	100
endgame	78	80
foul	10	5
total	184	222

Result

Final score

184 – 222

Prediction missed · off by 92.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.