Qualification · Qualification 100

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

59.19 – 194.87

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 310

Prediction correct · off by 84.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 121.6 ±10.4

6888Foothills Robotics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 19.87Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3459Team PyroTech

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 8.85Rank 43Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9559EagleTron

Season APEX 39Event APEX 30.47Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391.2 ±9.8

4795Eastbots

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 126.79Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11285Purple Autobots

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 15.02Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 53.06Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6888, 3459, 9559

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6888, 3459, 9559

Auto

29.5 47%

Teleop

12.0 19%

Endgame

21.4 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4795, 11285, 8727

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4795, 11285, 8727

Auto

28.6 15%

Teleop

108.3 56%

Endgame

56.0 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score59.2pts

Blue projected score194.9pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample230alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -135.7
Score range: 24–230
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 423 vs event baseline 193.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

121.6Season APEX391.2

29.5Auto28.6

12Teleop108.3

21.4Endgame56

32Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	49
teleop	48	182
endgame	36	79
foul	0	0
total	113	310

Result

Final score

113 – 310

Prediction correct · off by 84.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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