Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

74.94 – 48.94

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.3 ±10.4

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 18.72Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 32.18Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 24.04Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188 ±11

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 25.24Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9198The Beach Botz

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 7.21Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2640HOTBOTZ

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 16.49Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3196, 6894, 11377

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3196, 6894, 11377

Auto

22.9 31%

Teleop

32.8 44%

Endgame

18.6 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9150, 9198, 2640

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9150, 9198, 2640

Auto

8.6 19%

Teleop

27.5 61%

Endgame

9.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.9pts

Blue projected score48.9pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 9%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26
Score range: 35–89
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 143 vs event baseline 78.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

174.3Season APEX188

22.9Auto8.6

32.8Teleop27.5

18.6Endgame9

0Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	8
teleop	11	23
endgame	17	3
foul	60	0
total	109	34

Result

Final score

109 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 24.5 pts

Match videos

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