Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.46 – 59.66

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

247 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 50.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.7 ±10.5

3680Elemental Dragons

Season APEX 26Event APEX 6.15Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 95.69Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 58.62Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.7 ±11.6

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 18.49Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 20.98Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 20.19Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3680, 6500, 2724

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3680, 6500, 2724

Auto

31.9 21%

Teleop

97.1 63%

Endgame

25.2 16%

Strengths

· 6500 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9298, 900, 8727

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9298, 900, 8727

Auto

9.0 18%

Teleop

24.8 50%

Endgame

16.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.5pts

Blue projected score59.7pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 100.8
Score range: 46–174
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 77.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.7Season APEX200.7

31.9Auto9

97.1Teleop24.8

25.2Endgame16

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	17
teleop	148	37
endgame	68	15
foul	0	5
total	247	74

Result

Final score

247 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 50.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.