Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.31 – 72.77

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

263 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 60.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.1 ±9.8

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 82.45Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8746Knights

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 10.22Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4534Wired Wizards

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 71.64Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.3 ±10.4

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 18.13Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 31.64Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 23Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3506, 8746, 4534

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3506, 8746, 4534

Auto

27.4 17%

Teleop

97.2 59%

Endgame

40.5 25%

Strengths

· 3506 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3196, 6894, 11377

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3196, 6894, 11377

Auto

22.7 31%

Teleop

32.6 45%

Endgame

17.7 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164.3pts

Blue projected score72.8pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.5
Score range: 59–178
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 358 vs event baseline 75.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.1Season APEX174.3

27.4Auto22.7

97.2Teleop32.6

40.5Endgame17.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	25
teleop	135	38
endgame	76	27
foul	0	5
total	263	95

Result

Final score

263 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 60.5 pts

Match videos

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