Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
39.23 – 43.65
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
62 – 90
Prediction correct · off by 34.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 18.08Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 8.19Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 38.1Event APEX 12.96Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188 ±11
Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 23.06Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 5.4Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 15.19Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10248, 8757, 9605
41
/ 100 compatProjected
39.2 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10248, 8757, 9605
Auto
13.7 35%
Teleop
15.6 40%
Endgame
9.9 25%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 14%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9150, 9198, 2640
44
/ 100 compatProjected
43.7 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9150, 9198, 2640
Auto
8.0 20%
Teleop
23.3 60%
Endgame
7.8 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 14%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score39.2pts
Blue projected score43.7pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 14%, blue 9%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -4.4
- Score range
- 25–58
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
123.4Season APEX188
13.7Auto8
15.6Teleop23.3
9.9Endgame7.8
24Consistency40
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 14 |
| teleop | 34 | 56 |
| endgame | 6 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 62 | 90 |
Result
Final score
62 – 90
Prediction correct · off by 34.6 pts
Match videos
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