Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

61.97 – 41.14

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

66 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 7.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.7 ±11.6

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 19.6Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 21.26Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 21.11Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188 ±11

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 22.09Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9198The Beach Botz

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 4.84Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2640HOTBOTZ

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 14.21Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9298, 900, 8727

/ 100 compat

Projected

62 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9298, 900, 8727

Auto

8.4 15%

Teleop

27.2 50%

Endgame

19.3 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9150, 9198, 2640

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9150, 9198, 2640

Auto

7.0 20%

Teleop

21.6 61%

Endgame

6.8 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62pts

Blue projected score41.1pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 9%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.8
Score range: 27–76
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 119 vs event baseline 75.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

200.7Season APEX188

8.4Auto7

27.2Teleop21.6

19.3Endgame6.8

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	13
teleop	23	30
endgame	7	10
foul	20	0
total	66	53

Result

Final score

66 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 7.9 pts

Match videos

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