Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

163.16 – 48.43

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

189 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.1 ±9.8

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 82.65Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8746Knights

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 10.75Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4534Wired Wizards

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 69.76Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.4 ±11.6

10412TechBotTronics-1RSNC

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 8Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 26.18Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 14.25Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3506, 8746, 4534

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3506, 8746, 4534

Auto

29.6 18%

Teleop

95.4 58%

Endgame

38.4 24%

Strengths

· 3506 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10412, 1225, 5727

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10412, 1225, 5727

Auto

8.3 19%

Teleop

21.3 48%

Endgame

15.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score163.2pts

Blue projected score48.4pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 114.7
Score range: 35–176
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 73.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.1Season APEX139.4

29.6Auto8.3

95.4Teleop21.3

38.4Endgame15

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	13
teleop	117	45
endgame	49	18
foul	0	0
total	189	76

Result

Final score

189 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 pts

Match videos

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