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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FNC District Cabarrus Event

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

178.35 – 173.72

51%49%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 36.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.1 ±9.8
3506YETI Robotics
B
Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 86.18Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8746Knights
D
Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 15.12Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4534Wired Wizards
C
Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 77.05Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 394.7 ±10.5
2724Avalanche Robotics
A
Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 62.82Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6500GearCats
C
Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 100.12Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
3680Elemental Dragons
D
Season APEX 26Event APEX 10.78Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3506, 8746, 4534
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
178.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3506, 8746, 4534
Auto
31.2 17%
Teleop
102.3 57%
Endgame
45.6 25%
Strengths
  • · 3506 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2724, 6500, 3680
79
/ 100 compat
Projected
173.7 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 2724, 6500, 3680
Auto
31.5 19%
Teleop
105.0 62%
Endgame
32.2 19%
Strengths
  • · 6500 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score178.4pts
Blue projected score173.7pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 15%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
4.6
Score range
160–192
Upset likelihood
49%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 425 vs event baseline 78.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.1Season APEX394.7
31.2Auto31.5
102.3Teleop105
45.6Endgame32.2
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3132
teleop124127
endgame5729
foul1015
total222203

Result

Final score

222 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 36.5 pts

Match videos

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