Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

16.12 – 14.76

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 85

Prediction missed · off by 35.2 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 113.2 ±11.6

10704Storm Surge

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 4.84Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8746Knights

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX -3Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10412TechBotTronics-1RSNC

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 14.28Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.9 ±10.5

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 15.65Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3680Elemental Dragons

Season APEX 26Event APEX 1.03Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10248Iron Byrds

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX -1.92Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10704, 8746, 10412

/ 100 compat

Projected

16.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10704, 8746, 10412

Auto

-2.5 0%

Teleop

14.4 80%

Endgame

6.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3506, 3680, 10248

/ 100 compat

Projected

14.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3506, 3680, 10248

Auto

7.9 72%

Teleop

2.9 27%

Endgame

0.1 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score16.1pts

Blue projected score14.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.4
Score range: 6–25
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 101 vs event baseline 52.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

113.2Season APEX263.9

-2.5Auto7.9

14.4Teleop2.9

6.1Endgame0.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	21
teleop	6	33
endgame	8	31
foul	0	0
total	16	85

Result

Final score

16 – 85

Prediction missed · off by 35.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.