Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
76.87 – 31.75
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
102 – 38
Prediction correct · off by 15.7 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 37Event APEX 8.03Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 39.08Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 29.76Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.4 ±11
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 16.13Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 14.98Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 0.64Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9005, 2640, 6500
81
/ 100 compatProjected
76.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9005, 2640, 6500
Auto
5.5 7%
Teleop
58.0 73%
Endgame
16.2 20%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8757, 11377, 10107
48
/ 100 compatProjected
31.8 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8757, 11377, 10107
Auto
11.8 44%
Teleop
8.8 33%
Endgame
6.2 23%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 0.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score76.9pts
Blue projected score31.8pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 14%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 45.1
- Score range
- 23–86
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
250.6Season APEX160.4
5.5Auto11.8
58Teleop8.8
16.2Endgame6.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 18 |
| teleop | 62 | 10 |
| endgame | 17 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 102 | 38 |
Result
Final score
102 – 38
Prediction correct · off by 15.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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