Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

15.11 – 25.92

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.7 ±11.6

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 4.59Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9198The Beach Botz

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX -2.62Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 13.14Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277.5 ±11

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 5.97Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4534Wired Wizards

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 22.57Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX -2.62Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9298, 9198, 1225

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9298, 9198, 1225

Auto

0.2 1%

Teleop

10.9 72%

Endgame

4.1 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8727, 4534, 900

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8727, 4534, 900

Auto

2.2 8%

Teleop

15.1 58%

Endgame

8.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score15.1pts

Blue projected score25.9pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.8
Score range: 7–34
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 142 vs event baseline 46.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

144.7Season APEX277.5

0.2Auto2.2

10.9Teleop15.1

4.1Endgame8.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	18
teleop	26	44
endgame	15	27
foul	10	0
total	53	89

Result

Final score

53 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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