Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.92 – 69.63

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

11 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 24.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 111.9 ±12.2

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 35.52Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9605Creek Commanders

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX 12.43Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9762Raccoon Robotics

Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 3.97Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.9 ±10.4

4935T-Rex

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 25.49Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 20.92Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 23.22Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6894, 9605, 9762

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6894, 9605, 9762

Auto

7.7 15%

Teleop

24.0 48%

Endgame

18.3 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4935, 3196, 9150

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4935, 3196, 9150

Auto

18.4 27%

Teleop

33.1 49%

Endgame

15.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.9pts

Blue projected score69.6pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.7
Score range: 37–85
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 72 vs event baseline 84.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

111.9Season APEX195.9

7.7Auto18.4

24Teleop33.1

18.3Endgame15.9

11Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	26
teleop	10	24
endgame	1	11
foul	0	0
total	11	61

Result

Final score

11 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 24.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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