Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

144.73 – 81.49

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 89

Prediction missed · off by 40.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.8 ±9.8

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 16.25Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 89.95Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4935T-Rex

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 38.53Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359.5 ±10.5

8757GeodeBots

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 5.12Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 24.14Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 52.23Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9005, 3506, 4935

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9005, 3506, 4935

Auto

28.5 20%

Teleop

79.0 54%

Endgame

37.7 26%

Strengths

· 3506 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8757, 900, 2724

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8757, 900, 2724

Auto

25.7 33%

Teleop

39.5 51%

Endgame

12.1 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score144.7pts

Blue projected score81.5pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.2
Score range: 68–158
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 71.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.8Season APEX359.5

28.5Auto25.7

79Teleop39.5

37.7Endgame12.1

0Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	27
teleop	30	41
endgame	23	21
foul	5	0
total	72	89

Result

Final score

72 – 89

Prediction missed · off by 40.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.