Qualification · Qualification 50
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
114.37 – 77.42
61%39%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
150 – 163
Prediction missed · off by 60.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.6 ±11.6
Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 5.37Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 25.86Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 83.14Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170.5 ±11.6
Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 14.59Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 57.78Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 5.05Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9762, 10107, 6500
81
/ 100 compatProjected
114.4 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9762, 10107, 6500
Auto
23.5 22%
Teleop
63.3 58%
Endgame
21.5 20%
Strengths
- · 6500 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9298, 4534, 5727
64
/ 100 compatProjected
77.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9298, 4534, 5727
Auto
11.9 16%
Teleop
44.5 59%
Endgame
19.1 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score114.4pts
Blue projected score77.4pts
Red win probability61%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 21%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 37
- Score range
- 64–127
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
196.6Season APEX170.5
23.5Auto11.9
63.3Teleop44.5
21.5Endgame19.1
40Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 12 |
| teleop | 86 | 82 |
| endgame | 37 | 39 |
| foul | 5 | 30 |
| total | 150 | 163 |
Result
Final score
150 – 163
Prediction missed · off by 60.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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