Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

118.58 – 52.44

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

131 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.6 ±9.8

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 20.88Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 91.02Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8757GeodeBots

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 6.68Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 154.6 ±11

10412TechBotTronics-1RSNC

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 4.95Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 20.14Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 27.35Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8727, 3506, 8757

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8727, 3506, 8757

Auto

28.1 24%

Teleop

60.1 50%

Endgame

30.9 26%

Strengths

· 3506 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10412, 1225, 6894

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10412, 1225, 6894

Auto

10.0 20%

Teleop

23.9 48%

Endgame

16.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score118.6pts

Blue projected score52.4pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.1
Score range: 39–132
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 70.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362.6Season APEX154.6

28.1Auto10

60.1Teleop23.9

30.9Endgame16.2

53Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	7
teleop	68	35
endgame	34	45
foul	0	0
total	131	87

Result

Final score

131 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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