Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

69.33 – 49.48

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

94 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 16.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.3 ±10.5

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 3.05Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 53.51Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 12.77Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.2 ±10.4

2640HOTBOTZ

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 12.27Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10248Iron Byrds

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 15.09Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 22.12Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5727, 2724, 3196

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5727, 2724, 3196

Auto

21.4 31%

Teleop

40.5 59%

Endgame

6.2 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2640, 10248, 11377

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2640, 10248, 11377

Auto

14.2 29%

Teleop

24.2 49%

Endgame

11.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.3pts

Blue projected score49.5pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.9
Score range: 36–82
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 151 vs event baseline 69.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

340.3Season APEX174.2

21.4Auto14.2

40.5Teleop24.2

6.2Endgame11.2

8Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	13
teleop	51	23
endgame	17	6
foul	0	15
total	94	57

Result

Final score

94 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 16.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.