Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

98.79 – 3.77

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

190 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 54.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.9 ±11

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 16.12Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 72.41Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10248Iron Byrds

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 10.26Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 92 ±11.7

8746Knights

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 2.76Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX -8.98Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 9.99Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 900, 6500, 10248

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 900, 6500, 10248

Auto

21.8 24%

Teleop

50.1 55%

Endgame

19.8 22%

Strengths

· 6500 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8746, 6932, 9005

/ 100 compat

Projected

3.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8746, 6932, 9005

Auto

10.0 100%

Teleop

-3.3 0%

Endgame

-1.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score98.8pts

Blue projected score3.8pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 10%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95
Score range: -8–111
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 66.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

232.9Season APEX92

21.8Auto10

50.1Teleop-3.3

19.8Endgame-1.5

12Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	11
teleop	113	6
endgame	43	4
foul	0	0
total	190	21

Result

Final score

190 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 54.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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