Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.28 – 46.32

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 18.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.1 ±11.6

3680Elemental Dragons

Season APEX 26Event APEX -8.16Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2640HOTBOTZ

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 19.03Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10704Storm Surge

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 32.41Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178 ±11

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 3.15Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 24.21Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 18.96Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3680, 2640, 10704

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3680, 2640, 10704

Auto

5.1 12%

Teleop

26.5 63%

Endgame

10.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5727, 11377, 1225

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5727, 11377, 1225

Auto

16.3 36%

Teleop

18.9 42%

Endgame

10.2 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43.3pts

Blue projected score46.3pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3
Score range: 31–58
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 120 vs event baseline 66.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.1Season APEX178

5.1Auto16.3

26.5Teleop18.9

10.4Endgame10.2

20Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	17
teleop	25	37
endgame	8	26
foul	0	0
total	40	80

Result

Final score

40 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 18.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.