Qualification · Qualification 33
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 16.74
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
70 – 55
Prediction missed · off by 54.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 141 ±11
Season APEX 46.8Event APEX -1.3Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -9.34Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 8.26Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 85.6 ±11
Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 8.83Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37Event APEX 5.41Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 2.5Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8746, 8757, 9198
1
/ 100 compatProjected
-2.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8746, 8757, 9198
Auto
8.8 0%
Teleop
-5.5 100%
Endgame
-4.9 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 8%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10248, 9005, 9762
12
/ 100 compatProjected
16.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10248, 9005, 9762
Auto
11.1 69%
Teleop
-4.1 0%
Endgame
9.0 56%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 8%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-2.4pts
Blue projected score16.7pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 8%, blue 14%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -16.7
- Score range
- -11–28
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
141Season APEX85.6
8.8Auto11.1
-5.5Teleop-4.1
-4.9Endgame9
78Consistency44
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 11 |
| teleop | 33 | 15 |
| endgame | 14 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 70 | 55 |
Result
Final score
70 – 55
Prediction missed · off by 54.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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