Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 157.24

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 58.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 128.2 ±11.6

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 2.18Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -9.92Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5511Cortechs Robotics

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 2.84Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391.9 ±9.8

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 78.95Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 57.76Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 20.53Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9150, 5727, 5511

/ 100 compat

Projected

-4.9 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9150, 5727, 5511

Auto

10.5 0%

Teleop

-13.4 100%

Endgame

-1.7 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3506, 6500, 11377

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3506, 6500, 11377

Auto

36.9 23%

Teleop

84.5 54%

Endgame

35.8 23%

Strengths

· 3506 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.37 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-4.9pts

Blue projected score157.2pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -157.2
Score range: -10–167
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 274 vs event baseline 58.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

128.2Season APEX391.9

10.5Auto36.9

-13.4Teleop84.5

-1.7Endgame35.8

81Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	54
teleop	16	133
endgame	10	39
foul	5	0
total	48	226

Result

Final score

48 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 58.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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