Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

101.36 – 18.16

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.3 ±9.8

4935T-Rex

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 25.49Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 60.31Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2640HOTBOTZ

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 15.56Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 85.5 ±12.2

9762Raccoon Robotics

Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 3.97Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 23.22Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX -9.03Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4935, 2724, 2640

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4935, 2724, 2640

Auto

16.5 16%

Teleop

63.5 63%

Endgame

20.7 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9762, 9150, 6932

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9762, 9150, 6932

Auto

9.8 58%

Teleop

2.2 13%

Endgame

4.8 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score101.4pts

Blue projected score18.2pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 9%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.2
Score range: 3–116
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 84.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.3Season APEX85.5

16.5Auto9.8

63.5Teleop2.2

20.7Endgame4.8

24Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	6
teleop	103	4
endgame	30	10
foul	0	0
total	142	20

Result

Final score

142 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 21.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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